Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x301c6833f6e33d0fc587215e6d31dacb856a294665d7833765842fcc3f0c79c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 59c | 3,495$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.13 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Over | 41c | 1,277$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.66 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 63c | 1,229$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.81 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Over | 36c | 1,199$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.95 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 60c | 1,187$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.95 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 40c | 1,132$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.63 | 343 | 40.5%139 W · 204 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 57c | 1,009$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.05 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Under | 58c | 938.7$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.25 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 41c | 773.18$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.08 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 40c | 727.45$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 40c | 637$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.8 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 62c | 534.38$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…7ff7backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 41c | 405.06$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.7 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 42c | 346.4$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 43c | 338.35$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd799…326cbacked Over | 49c | 337.94$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.78 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 43c | 321.93$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.43 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 61c | 302.53$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.93 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 60c | 268.58$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.19 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Under | 65c | 252.8$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.41 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Over | 35c | 227$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.54 | 148 | 31.1%46 W · 102 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Over | 45c | 197.23$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.67 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 31c | 195.45$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Under | 51c | 180.74$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.56 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 67c | 125.4$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13ba…53e4backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…3fdbbacked Over | 44c | 112.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Over | 34c | 101.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 385 | 55.1%212 W · 173 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Over | 35c | 100.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 406 | 37.7%153 W · 253 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Over | 35c | 100.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 231 | 36.4%84 W · 147 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 32c | 99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 56c | 90.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 52c | 75.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -16.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f3…b3eebacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c1…026dbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e0…cc64backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…8b25backed Over | 42c | 42.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd723…25bfbacked Over | 47c | 42.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b75…535cbacked Under | 59c | 33.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Under | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 274 | 47.4%130 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd557…8175backed Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd3…21b8backed Over | 35c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b77…8e4fbacked Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c47…b30abacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae5c…9ef6backed Over | 42c | 24.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…a00dbacked Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Team WE won
- First Blood in Game 2?Bilibili Gaming won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.