TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6592…291e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: F1, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.9
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$23.5
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.87
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$15.53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+176.8%+$17.94
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$21.35
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.41
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$17.62
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+151.1%+$24.64
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.5
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.38
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-46.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.28
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+28%+$4.2
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$8.06
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.33
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.38
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.47
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$73.78
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$25.92
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolinabacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.63
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$85.89
Cincinnati Open: Xinyu Wang vs Donna Vekicbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$258.54
Cincinnati Open: Peyton Stearns vs Clara Tausonbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.22
Cincinnati Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.09
National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$37.73
National Bank Open: Iva Jovic vs Alina Korneevabacked Alina Korneeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+75.3%+$8.64
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$58.61
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$22.33
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$8.12
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Valorant: Global Esports vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.18
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$12.16
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.98
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$26.54
All 7 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.