CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a624bcb04cf6ceb826844ed83ce35ea94e64c4f077ecf783f5d4d69b967c60f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof SPARTA, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked MOUZ NXT | 50c | 2,021$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.02 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d24…cf3fbacked MOUZ NXT | 56c | 920.57$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.07 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SPARTA | 50c | 817.1$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.55 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SPARTA | 41c | 778.12$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.48 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked MOUZ NXT | 42c | 709.01$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.01 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed SPARTA | 62c | 577$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.2 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked SPARTA | 37c | 443.32$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.69 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT | 64c | 438.33$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.91 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8045…9116backed SPARTA | 45c | 384$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.98 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed SPARTA | 27c | 383.32$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.46 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed SPARTA | 30c | 323.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed MOUZ NXT | 50c | 261.75$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.66 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed SPARTA | 43c | 229.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed MOUZ NXT | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked SPARTA | 43c | 188.51$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MOUZ NXT | 53c | 185.95$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.72 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SPARTA | 39c | 185.01$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked MOUZ NXT | 52c | 181.74$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.26 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…4501backed SPARTA | 57c | 174.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.24 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked MOUZ NXT | 56c | 162.39$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c9…b32cbacked SPARTA | 15c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed SPARTA | 67c | 139.55$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked MOUZ NXT | 52c | 137.42$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked SPARTA | 36c | 135.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed SPARTA | 23c | 127$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…5405backed SPARTA | 41c | 102.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeadd…e3d7backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 94.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.11 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked SPARTA | 44c | 90.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed MOUZ NXT | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…da03backed SPARTA | 17c | 87.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed MOUZ NXT | 64c | 85.34$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed MOUZ NXT | 32c | 76.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd2…7f61backed MOUZ NXT | 52c | 69.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed SPARTA | 50c | 66.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed SPARTA | 48c | 62.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked MOUZ NXT | 53c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked MOUZ NXT | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed MOUZ NXT | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked SPARTA | 28c | 49.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 280 | 37.9%106 W · 174 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked MOUZ NXT | 70c | 46.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SPARTA | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed MOUZ NXT | 52c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed MOUZ NXT | 33c | 33.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked MOUZ NXT | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SPARTA | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c19…6d8abacked MOUZ NXT | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d7…a1ffbacked SPARTA | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 277 | 46.2%128 W · 149 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed SPARTA | 69c | 29.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed SPARTA | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…2ff5backed SPARTA | 45c | 26.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed SPARTA | 41c | 24.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed SPARTA | 41c | 24.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 26.1%46 W · 130 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed SPARTA | 46c | 24.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed MOUZ NXT | 64c | 23.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked SPARTA | 61c | 21.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed SPARTA | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 121 | 76%92 W · 29 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed MOUZ NXT | 72c | 19.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked SPARTA | 67c | 17.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group CSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+3.5)MOUZ NXT won
- Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)MOUZ NXT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.