CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x659d739180f6cc3cbbda2527cae36c7474f763bb4d48896c2711b4337fbf28e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof SPARTA, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed SPARTA | 46c | 1,113$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.82 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked SPARTA | 51c | 648.16$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.56 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked SPARTA | 45c | 450.5$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.73 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked SPARTA | 49c | 442.39$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.23 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe453…256ebacked MOUZ NXT | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked MOUZ NXT | 55c | 317.63$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.63 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…3480backed MOUZ NXT | 51c | 293.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.96 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked MOUZ NXT | 54c | 278.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.18 | 238 | 58.4%139 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed MOUZ NXT | 58c | 258.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.73 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed SPARTA | 44c | 220.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed MOUZ NXT | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7955…ce08backed MOUZ NXT | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…f6c5backed MOUZ NXT | 55c | 181.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed SPARTA | 48c | 166.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.37 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed MOUZ NXT | 49c | 149.61$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed SPARTA | 7c | 142.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed SPARTA | 7c | 142.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 26.1%46 W · 130 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked SPARTA | 42c | 119$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | -13.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked MOUZ NXT | 51c | 118.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed MOUZ NXT | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20f4…8b5ebacked MOUZ NXT | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97ee…1f82backed MOUZ NXT | 55c | 72.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked MOUZ NXT | 57c | 52.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 284 | 54.9%156 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed SPARTA | 42c | 48.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed MOUZ NXT | 53c | 47.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 217 | 50.7%110 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…285dbacked MOUZ NXT | 50c | 44.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed MOUZ NXT | 53c | 41.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed SPARTA | 50c | 39.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed SPARTA | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…a02dbacked MOUZ NXT | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa838…5d04backed SPARTA | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed MOUZ NXT | 53c | 21.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ NXT | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group CSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+3.5)MOUZ NXT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.