Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b034b59d01611bd5acd1b5448c55a8d092dce54bd3babb29491b5cb28023ee3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 56c | 15,926$8,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,011.93 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Yes | 45c | 15,000$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,700 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fb…d07cbacked No | 6c | 14,167$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,266.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +424.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 47c | 11,446$5,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,347.86 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…2f6abacked Yes | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed No | 57c | 8,772$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,771.93 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Yes | 45c | 6,337$2,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,856.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 45c | 5,727$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.92 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed No | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 76c | 4,917$3,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720.58 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…2a64backed No | 53c | 4,522$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 53c | 3,709$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.86 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 3,274$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.26 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed No | 53c | 2,970$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 53c | 2,590$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.46 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…9e9bbacked Yes | 48c | 2,104$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Yes | 45c | 1,878$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.1 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 1,734$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.11 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,341$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.69 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 54c | 1,223$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.22 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 70c | 1,187$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.14 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed No | 58c | 1,057$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 58c | 1,017$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.24 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 56c | 903.94$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.54 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed No | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 48c | 876$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.48 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 52c | 875.07$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.03 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…db72backed Yes | 64c | 780$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.1 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 45c | 770.83$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.24 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 57c | 761.4$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.4 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked No | 36c | 735.03$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 644.09$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.52 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 3c | 500$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Yes | 48c | 479.44$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…84cebacked Yes | 44c | 477.27$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 46c | 466.72$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.67 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…5fdebacked Yes | 44c | 420.45$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.8wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 53c | 384.31$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.63 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Yes | 44c | 381.82$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 56c | 352.47$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.09 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 63c | 303.36$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 53c | 258.64$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.74 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed No | 55c | 227.84$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.53 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa92b…a4dcbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…f676backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…084dbacked No | 58c | 204.29$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed No | 10c | 202.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 44c | 191.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.24 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 43c | 191.18$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.21 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…7e67backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 46c | 173$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed No | 57c | 157.89$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed No | 8c | 130.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.47 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked No | 57c | 120.26$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 43c | 119.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf14…7243backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 44c | 111.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939e…133cbacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 106.31$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 45c | 99.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 48c | 98.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfff7…7c28backed No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 57c | 87.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 44c | 81.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 54c | 78.89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 52c | 74.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Yes | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 53c | 72.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 70c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Yes | 49c | 69.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 25c | 67.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…6aa2backed No | 54c | 66.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 45c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed No | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 67cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 60c | 59.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 75c | 58.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 57.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 26c | 55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 35c | 53.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160c…185cbacked No | 54c | 53.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 25c | 53.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Yes | 43c | 52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 54c | 49.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…095bbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…fc7cbacked No | 40c | 39.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 65c | 38.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 54c | 36.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe771…a76abacked Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 57c | 32.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 45c | 32.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius end in a draw?No won
- Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.