Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8beba1b529f14a6f5957708dc284da6e914d8b7b41f1c44d854b86eaeee12abf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 75c | 1,714$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.3 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 28c | 1,330$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.95 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 1,015$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.35 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 11c | 688.92$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 57c | 600.94$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.68 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834d…0c31backed Yes | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 447.41$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.8 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 403.16$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.43 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 20c | 367.3$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.29 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 19c | 256.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 68c | 252.7$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed No | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 20c | 194$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3341…d7e4backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 13c | 126$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 27c | 112.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…bf0dbacked Yes | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 24c | 105$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 11c | 98.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Yes | 19c | 97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 23c | 79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 60c | 75.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 29c | 66.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 76c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 54.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Yes | 26c | 38.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Yes | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 43c | 27.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 62cpaid | -53%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 60c | 17.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius end in a draw?this page
- Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-15?No won
- Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.