MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7481960be626be0fb68a491d6ba3e27d1b0c555fb4fa217fc15535fbb917068f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $221,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 49c | 171,975$84,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,267.89 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 51c | 144,444$73,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,777.56 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Over | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…7a15backed Under | 51c | 11,748$5,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,955.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 8,691$4,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,237.56 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 49c | 7,997$3,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,913.14 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 6,102$3,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038.03 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Under | 50c | 4,036$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 52c | 3,850$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 3,677$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.13 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 50c | 2,688$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.82 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 2,276$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.75 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…4797backed Over | 51c | 1,585$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.65 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +61%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 1,537$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.69 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Over | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 49c | 1,411$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.28 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 48c | 1,379$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.92 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 49c | 1,307$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.43 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Under | 50c | 974$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Under | 50c | 974$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 56c | 939.93$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.94 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 49c | 860.08$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.83 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 605.3$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.98 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 48c | 551.85$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.89 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 518.35$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.75 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 69c | 496.97$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.06 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Over | 54c | 491.63$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.15 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…5fdebacked Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 48c | 442.84$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.77 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 49c | 340$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.6 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 50c | 318.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 48c | 267$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.49 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 51c | 252.94$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.94 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…ff5ebacked Over | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 50c | 224.5$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.25 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Under | 49c | 221$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.29 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 65c | 216.39$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.43 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Over | 52c | 213.46$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 140 | 64.3%90 W · 50 L | +11.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 52c | 212.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.73 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Under | 43c | 212.13$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.22 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -8.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -52%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 52c | 199.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 16c | 195.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Over | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Over | 51c | 180.16$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.28 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Over | 51c | 139.9$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…c9aebacked Under | 25c | 135$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 51c | 133$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 49c | 132.26$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 52c | 128.19$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.47 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1d…a01abacked Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…14c2backed Under | 47c | 105.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68aa…0f92backed Over | 49c | 102.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Under | 49c | 91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 278 | 52.2%145 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 52c | 80.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48dd…98cebacked Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 52c | 77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 51c | 66.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 63.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 48c | 59.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 52c | 56.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 51c | 54.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Over | 51c | 49.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 51c | 47.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 52c | 46.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07b4…6855backed Under | 52c | 37.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d03…06b8backed Over | 51c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Over | 52c | 31.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 51c | 30.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 51c | 30.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Over | 51c | 30.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aae…7efcbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 881 | 47.8%421 W · 460 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 51c | 28.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Over | 51c | 27.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 67c | 26.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1b…aa71backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Under | 48c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 50c | 24.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 50c | 20.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.