MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c9f4ba4941442ae37e858ab6f7f9f4960949623e3cad1133d25f85c734bbe91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof Los Angeles Dodgers, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 9,369$4,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,969.4 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 6,817$3,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,612.79 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 3,808$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.05 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colorado Rockies | 34c | 1,757$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.82 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 1,358$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 1,273$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.11 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 1,028$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.77 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 703.27$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.78 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 699.63$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.52 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies | 19c | 407$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.85 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 346.17$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.01 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Colorado Rockies | 30c | 314.92$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.82 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 78c | 288$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.42 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 278.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.24 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colorado Rockies | 67c | 271$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.32 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Colorado Rockies | 30c | 247.47$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.3 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Colorado Rockies | 33c | 199$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.46 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Colorado Rockies | 23c | 153.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.56 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae26…fdb3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 79c | 135.73$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 119.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Colorado Rockies | 26c | 88.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.79 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Colorado Rockies | 14c | 86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.96 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcee…acdcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…efe7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 57.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Colorado Rockies | 37c | 54.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 54.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…60e4backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 47.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 36.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 32.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 27.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 20.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 19.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.