Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75063a9f6f93d7375dbe9915b2708aea6953fd89cbf4e4eec5a7267cda488cc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 5,763$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,687.36 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 53c | 5,575$2,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,643.95 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 48c | 4,721$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.04 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked Yes | 46c | 2,373$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.18 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 59c | 1,924$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.57 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 1,685$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.32 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 4c | 1,579$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 54c | 1,518$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.73 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 45c | 1,264$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.15 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.48 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 48c | 893.5$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.88 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 884.83$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.42 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 711.14$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.01 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 35c | 527.3$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.74 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 38c | 486.74$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.23 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 55c | 342.65$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.06 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…d0b2backed Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 20c | 275.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.78 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 80c | 271$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.8 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 7c | 249$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3341…d7e4backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +148%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 72c | 212.26$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.34 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 47c | 170$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 51 | 74.5%38 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 31c | 159.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 44c | 150.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 17c | 130$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 21c | 99.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.64 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 49c | 96.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 70%56 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 21c | 62.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes | 24c | 61.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 80c | 54.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 44c | 51.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Yes | 45c | 44.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 37c | 42.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 45c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 50c | 35.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 50c | 30.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Yes | 69c | 27.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed No | 61c | 17.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed No | 80c | 16.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok end in a draw?this page
- Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2026-08-13?No won
- Will Rangers FC win on 2026-08-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.