Asian League · resolved market
Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f0b593f1913431f03396b734fc73e7227990524c913c9367ed6417c8e4e00a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 2,325$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.38 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 1,825$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.66 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 1,429$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.22 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 25c | 1,057$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.15 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 26c | 565.12$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.96 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…84cebacked Yes | 26c | 456.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 25c | 346.49$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.87 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 75c | 327.41$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.02 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 323.95$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.23 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 75c | 261.12$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 246$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Yes | 14c | 215.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 76c | 214.33$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3341…d7e4backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 73c | 178.34$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 77c | 142.4$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 75c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 116.86$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 75c | 106.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 29c | 89.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x834d…0c31backed Yes | 23c | 89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 88.66$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 26c | 73.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked No | 75c | 73.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 22c | 71.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +114.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 25c | 69.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 63 | 82.5%52 W · 11 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 79c | 66.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 69c | 62.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…12b2backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 47.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 77c | 46.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes | 24c | 45.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 79c | 38.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 72c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-08-16?Yes won
- Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.