Asian League · resolved market
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cbec8bc5ef12a4c80340c879d40a812cc1f2bccc72010aa4fd0f65924fe1b89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0df9…0965backed No | 74c | 1,040$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 1,016$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.76 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 53c | 900.87$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.46 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 47c | 784.23$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.64 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 598$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.54 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 496.42$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.42 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 34c | 410.91$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.83 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 73c | 381.07$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.91 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 72c | 370$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.68 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…5554backed Yes | 77c | 282.38$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 72c | 278.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.29 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 266.67$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.67 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 74c | 210$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3341…d7e4backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 46c | 178.1$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.14 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 24c | 147.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 62c | 139.93$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.43 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 52c | 109.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 26c | 101$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked No | 29c | 82.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed No | 73c | 81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 54c | 72.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 47c | 59.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…2015backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…b723backed Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 47c | 34.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 50c | 27.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…4ee1backed Yes | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 68c | 22.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 66c | 19.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 73c | 17.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-08-08?No won
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-08-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.