Asian League · resolved market
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fc63663105432013e6df009fe61dd499e280024cb41ac582bb0b9a2a7f0925f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 2,608$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.82 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…dd03backed Yes | 28c | 1,081$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 72c | 790.77$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.7 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 504.88$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.18 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 25c | 379.79$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 73c | 282.7$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.33 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 73c | 197.83$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 139.93$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…5ab8backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 27c | 112.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 27c | 77.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Yes | 26c | 75.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc479…f56fbacked Yes | 26c | 75.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 27c | 75.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…92d7backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 23c | 57.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…2015backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 75c | 48.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 78c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 77c | 32.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 63 | 82.5%52 W · 11 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 73c | 30.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked No | 76c | 20.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 20.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 72c | 18.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-08-08?No won
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.