South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-08-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2a9ccf00ec58ddbdd48ca1232c19d6209f9d252aa31e76a787ff9996bd4e5f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 31c | 6,364$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,406.19 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 55c | 4,128$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.81 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 3,425$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.46 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Yes | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed No | 42c | 3,125$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.29 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 12c | 2,927$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.33 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 2,533$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.9 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 31c | 2,150$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.9 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 1,899$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.08 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 17c | 1,434$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.45 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed No | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 4c | 1,320$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 4c | 905.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 70c | 877.43$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.2 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 15c | 714.34$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.62 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 6c | 595.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 68c | 594.66$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.37 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 59c | 503.64$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.65 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 372.73$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.46 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 32c | 281.25$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.25 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 68c | 261.25$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.65 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 30c | 244.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 57c | 235.31$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.18 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 70c | 220$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 20c | 208.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 69c | 199.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 26c | 197.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 41c | 180$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 52c | 177.65$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…1fd2backed No | 16c | 164.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Yes | 31c | 154.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.83 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 30c | 129.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.63 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 70c | 114.52$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.17 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked No | 55c | 112.02$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 46c | 98.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 40c | 98.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 25c | 94.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 69c | 84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 45c | 78.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 78.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 69c | 71.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 42c | 69.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 30c | 67.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 69c | 66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 45c | 65.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 69c | 65.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed No | 70c | 65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 32c | 59.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 62c | 54.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 69c | 53.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 69c | 50.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db6…fa76backed Yes | 55c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 69c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 69c | 39.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 68c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 47c | 34.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 59c | 33.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 69c | 32.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…a7e7backed No | 43c | 31.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 47c | 29.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 58c | 28.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 74c | 27.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 41c | 24.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 70c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 49c | 23.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 65c | 23.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed No | 69c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4199…b1c3backed Yes | 55c | 20.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…ffd3backed No | 71c | 15.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-08-17?this page
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-08-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.