South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-08-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x277e27fd043bb2a02e7f075dda6152a1c1e1d7687b5207239e1256cfb68b49cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 4c | 7,644$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.65 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d1…5651backed Yes | 0c | 4,092$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 2c | 3,891$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.33 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 1c | 3,745$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 37c | 3,037$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.69 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 1,643$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.86 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 63c | 1,310$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.8 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 63c | 739.02$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.99 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 660.87$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.88 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 5c | 580$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 78 | 14.1%11 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 4c | 350$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 37c | 338$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.06 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 36c | 220$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 37c | 166.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d43…8bcdbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yes | 37c | 126.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +68%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 21c | 95.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 63c | 62.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Yes | 38c | 60.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 34c | 60.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 66c | 53.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 73c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 63c | 26.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 64c | 20.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 63c | 18.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-08-17?this page
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-08-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.