South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Huracán vs. CA Banfield end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b5f3b4c87e10852713f416b021e2d3deaf1a36acab334c1d2fd283effc1f917
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 59c | 11,820$6,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,834.29 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 6,099$2,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,636.45 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 43c | 1,184$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.87 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Yes | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 39c | 814.84$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.24 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 44c | 611.52$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.32 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 33c | 557.83$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.66 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 33c | 354.9$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 44c | 291.25$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.87 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 45c | 203.57$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.9 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 69c | 167.12$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 17c | 161.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Yes | 44c | 156.8$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 32c | 135.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 41c | 114$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 79c | 105.62$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db6…fa76backed Yes | 18c | 101$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 32c | 96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 20c | 81.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 54c | 73.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 42c | 66.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 44c | 66.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 53c | 66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 32c | 59.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…e9a5backed Yes | 45c | 57.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 55c | 51.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 53c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…1f84backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 36c | 49.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb808…780cbacked Yes | 33c | 48.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c7…216abacked Yes | 43c | 43.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 43.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Yes | 36c | 40.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 31c | 32.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Yes | 42c | 29.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 54c | 23.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked No | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 58c | 22.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 54c | 19.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Huracán vs. CA Banfield end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Banfield win on 2026-07-24?No won
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-07-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.