South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Banfield win on 2026-07-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f303c48bdf73aaa95968abd024a54cfa277bd3a1768820ba0b65c93fc6c101c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 4c | 10,988$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.43 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 77c | 2,418$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.43 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 4c | 725.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 69c | 691.01$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.95 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 23c | 647$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.07 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 12c | 609.16$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.87 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 19c | 522.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.21 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked No | 76c | 395.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Yes | 30c | 365.01$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.19 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 16c | 335.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 16c | 308.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 72c | 247$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.55 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 53c | 177$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.15 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 26c | 174.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Yes | 12c | 153.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed No | 64c | 131.36$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.29 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 33c | 128$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 17c | 107.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 19c | 106$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 197 | 11.2%22 W · 175 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked No | 62c | 105.23$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked Yes | 38c | 95.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 58c | 94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Yes | 21c | 92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 15c | 89.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Yes | 23c | 86.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 60c | 85.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…4ac9backed Yes | 16c | 79.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Yes | 15c | 77.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 28c | 67.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 57.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 26c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 32.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3250…7beabacked Yes | 36c | 30.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed No | 80c | 25.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Banfield win on 2026-07-24?this page
- Will CA Huracán vs. CA Banfield end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-07-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.