Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Alashkert FA win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad0fa7262a59090a6225a5962f70d47d81fb137fb2ab3f43968507e5d751cf44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Yes | 0c | 57,837$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 79c | 4,582$3,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.79 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 21c | 4,280$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.64 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 20c | 2,461$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.73 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Yes | 26c | 2,436$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.07 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 21c | 2,371$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.13 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06f…11f3backed Yes | 46c | 2,196$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 20c | 1,817$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.55 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 22c | 1,311$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.88 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 76c | 1,239$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.03 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 62c | 1,198$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.27 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 77c | 595$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.85 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 79c | 589.09$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 24c | 528.3$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.89 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 71c | 506.15$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.68 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…28c5backed Yes | 18c | 416.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 18c | 390.06$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 77c | 389$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.47 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 77c | 388.26$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.13 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4d…448fbacked Yes | 18c | 359.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 18c | 300$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 19c | 265.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…7c8abacked Yes | 10c | 262.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 191.64$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 76c | 132$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 22c | 131.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 76c | 130.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Yes | 22c | 104$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…2ac6backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Yes | 22c | 99.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 20c | 95.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Yes | 16c | 67.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 78c | 67.08$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 78c | 52.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 52.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed No | 78c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 68c | 46.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 79c | 39.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…dc21backed No | 57c | 37.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +46%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 78c | 30.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked No | 75c | 29.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 67cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked No | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 79c | 15.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0984…296bbacked No | 79c | 15.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 69c | 15.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alashkert FA win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will Elimai FK vs. Alashkert FA end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Elimai FK win on 2026-07-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.