South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Tigres de la UANL vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb3dde984e267c80072d820bf7c4425c6379b18f53d0f507784029f561d0c7e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 2,963$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.78 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 21c | 1,904$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 51c | 1,803$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.07 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 1,252$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.7 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 1,122$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.42 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 46c | 652.62$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.09 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 650.61$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.29 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 44c | 633.41$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.73 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 62c | 500$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.2 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 35c | 325$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.92 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 43c | 292$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.26 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…c91abacked Yes | 20c | 179.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 22c | 163.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e7…5284backed Yes | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 22c | 87.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed No | 79c | 78.1$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 23c | 66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 60.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 31c | 59.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 20c | 57.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 25c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 19c | 53.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…b6ecbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 77c | 44.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…174ebacked Yes | 23c | 44.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 57c | 43.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 42c | 43.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 79c | 38.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 32c | 37.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 59c | 29.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc2…02a9backed Yes | 66c | 15.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tigres de la UANL vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?this page
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-02-20?Yes won
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-02-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.