South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-02-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc179aee429b65033ef793a1c6f0a0093e4d0765b829fcf7025f24643757a648
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 16c | 16,071$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,506.97 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 75c | 1,946$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.38 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 19c | 1,045$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.9 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 16c | 958.61$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.27 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 29c | 800.67$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 79c | 597$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 19c | 482.52$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 74c | 384$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.41 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Yes | 13c | 307.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.73 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 17c | 278.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.67 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 21c | 238.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.86 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 16c | 217$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.28 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 20c | 216$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.07 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Yes | 19c | 196$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.93 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 20c | 184$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.54 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 19c | 175.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.35 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 10c | 157.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.93 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 17c | 150.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.01 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 15c | 149.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.95 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed No | 8c | 145$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 30c | 107.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 79c | 96.78$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…2b56backed Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 76c | 79.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 20c | 76.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.24 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc363…8845backed Yes | 15c | 70.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 48c | 65.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…d837backed No | 21c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 60.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Yes | 24c | 57.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…6aa3backed No | 73c | 50.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…b17fbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 49.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Yes | 24c | 48.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 78c | 20.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-02-20?this page
- Will Tigres de la UANL vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?No won
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-02-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.