South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-02-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16bf006ffb9eba9765a97961c650790715984f2498db73259ad2a042f56ee30d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 39c | 1,700$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 61c | 1,164$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.83 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 61c | 489$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.71 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 488.32$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.57 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 68c | 372.64$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.43 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 271.78$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 18c | 225$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 61c | 220.77$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 185.66$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.26 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…78b4backed Yes | 40c | 137.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 128.15$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…45f0backed Yes | 39c | 110$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecd…c9ffbacked Yes | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 66c | 85.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 34c | 74.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 60c | 70.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd364…2778backed Yes | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…6ce1backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3326…2d1ebacked Yes | 39c | 63.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 31c | 60.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…c91abacked Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 54.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…2e72backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 64c | 37.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +40%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 38c | 35.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 62c | 19.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed No | 62c | 16.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-02-24?this page
- Will CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-02-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.