TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-03-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,134
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,688

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,134 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Yes48c10,093$4,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,260.821850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3005259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No47c2,145$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.428,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7802263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No49c832.56$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.941,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No30c784.57$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.1918828.7%54 W · 134 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No52c780.1$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.7929747.1%140 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No52c619.62$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.873,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes44c503.95$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.234346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No52c463.57$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.92,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No36c453.79$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.5884943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Yes52c405.25$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.521478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+40%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes40c387.5$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.52825%7 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No55c383.89$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.161,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes43c332.56$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.5640242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15611459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes67c239.33$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.751,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.19638.5%37 W · 59 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes50c203.14$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.412331.7%39 W · 84 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Yes51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+43%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed No17c182.35$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No52c180$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.655155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No50c174.97$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.141,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No52c135$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.219460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No52c115$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.87856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No52c112$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.245160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes47c105.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.164250%21 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568648.8%42 W · 44 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0418433.2%61 W · 123 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No45c95.4$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.31,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No16c93.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2771619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes46c91.72$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7213739.4%54 W · 83 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No52c90$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.83857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No52c90$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.87055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No52c75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395752.6%30 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x452f…b277backed Yes51c60.53$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5311637.1%43 W · 73 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes44c60.3$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4781740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.23959%23 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.25250%26 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.25151%26 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.25350.9%27 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.25556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.26162.3%38 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.23759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.25453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.26962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.25560%33 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7af4…043abacked Yes50c59.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.63650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes51c58.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.678569.4%59 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfdc…8e06backed Yes51c58.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.39580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+41.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked No52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267058.6%41 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked No52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbae5…3cddbacked Yes45c48.73$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Yes45c46.67$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.678433.3%28 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No52c45.94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.741,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes78c45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.910160.4%61 W · 40 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6250…8707backed Yes52c41.15$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes79c40.24$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.475,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked No52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.82360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes53c38.73$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.216534.5%57 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5683…3ea1backed Yes53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes73c37.04$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107058.6%41 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes50c35.1$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4449535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.095044%22 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x713f…158dbacked Yes49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed No60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185076%38 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.64163.4%26 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed No52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.66656.1%37 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa961…e9e0backed Yes47c29.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Yes44c28.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.069936.4%36 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No50c26.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.463,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xace6…e599backed Yes80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked No52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133759.5%22 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed No52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134259.5%25 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x320f…1420backed Yes44c24.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.582544%11 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bec…80aebacked Yes43c23.86$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b7…be96backed No54c23.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes52c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.561,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked No51c20.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5813548.9%66 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed No52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.43458.8%20 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No52c19.47$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1815459.1%91 W · 63 L-0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.