South American Leagues · resolved market
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Lanús: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59128d397aa62e1e044394540b7140bff80087dba1c36aa544ee66a0f4d7c773
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x916f…53babacked Over | 36c | 6,062$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 4,694$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.26 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 36c | 1,670$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.14 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 14c | 1,104$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.85 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 51c | 830.96$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.27 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 64c | 437.1$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.8 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 395.59$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.95 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 64c | 279.69$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.69 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 39c | 258.87$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.96 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…9b93backed Over | 37c | 183.78$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4d…0839backed Over | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 28c | 86.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 494 | 40.9%202 W · 292 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Under | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 66.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Under | 64c | 64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…e945backed Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked Under | 73c | 48.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 39c | 43.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4868…c8d1backed Under | 73c | 41.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…12bdbacked Under | 64c | 38.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7368…a8bebacked Over | 54c | 37.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5683…3ea1backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 64c | 30.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…effdbacked Over | 41c | 30.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…5863backed Under | 68c | 26.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Lanús: O/U 2.5this page
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Lanús: O/U 1.5Over won
- CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Lanús: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CSyD Defensa y Justicia (-2.5)CA Lanús won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.