Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65fa61f8323e842ecf9e5df3181eba0f876a27d10382b6024072af823916457a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,384 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 9,576$3,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,607.83 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 61c | 8,193$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,195.23 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 48c | 4,250$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.13 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 52c | 4,166$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.28 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 68c | 1,299$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.6 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 24c | 557.97$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.74 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 70c | 462.74$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 412.97$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.83 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 65c | 399.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 39c | 305.9$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.3 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 47c | 277$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.81 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 76c | 262.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 36c | 255.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.74 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Under | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Under | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 10cpaid | +155.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 72c | 153.81$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4b…f7d2backed Under | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 76c | 148.12$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 48c | 145.58$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 49c | 106.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5683…3ea1backed Over | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Over | 73c | 56.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 39c | 56.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 43.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 39c | 40.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under | 39c | 29.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -10.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 46c | 26.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 2.5this page
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Göztepe SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Göztepe SK (-1.5)Rams Başakşehir FK won
- Spread: Rams Başakşehir FK (-1.5)Göztepe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.