Other European Leagues · resolved market
Konyaspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b861a9c5214c32f2e983987c6c2598c1da0e46d51778c8ddc955f5bfb7d96e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,559 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 56c | 2,848$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.16 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 49c | 1,771$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.12 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 51c | 903.06$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.26 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 557.11$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.51 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 468.25$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.98 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Under | 55c | 449.17$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.22 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 46c | 437.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.35 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 56c | 434.48$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Under | 56c | 422.95$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.1 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 44c | 422.95$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.1 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 50c | 411.12$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.56 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 21c | 336.2$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.64 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Under | 56c | 312.48$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.49 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 43c | 290.7$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.7 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 44c | 281.23$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.74 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 44c | 272.46$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 39c | 257.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Over | 77c | 257.66$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 45c | 236.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.65 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 63c | 203.47$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.16 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 63c | 165$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 45c | 117$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 58c | 104.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…cf23backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 56c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5683…3ea1backed Over | 75c | 82.67$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 43c | 57.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 44c | 54.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 38c | 52.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 49c | 49.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Over | 44c | 31.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 49c | 29.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8f…8316backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Under | 59c | 18.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Konyaspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 2.5this page
- Konyaspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Konyaspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Konyaspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Konyaspor vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Konyaspor (-1.5)Kasımpaşa SK won
- Spread: Konyaspor (-2.5)Kasımpaşa SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.