Premier League · resolved market
Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98d9ed87f5340249dfe54adf5753f6001316a2f9ac05257045cb4034480c53b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 3,095$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.75 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 28c | 2,082$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.34 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 72c | 1,550$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.68 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 26c | 977.82$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.41 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 65c | 642.71$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.95 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 550.38$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.36 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 71c | 369$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.99 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Over | 29c | 314.77$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.84 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 48c | 281.45$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.35 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…0841backed Under | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 32c | 163.72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.33 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 27c | 117.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.84 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 49c | 98.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 65c | 84.56$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 60.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 29c | 50.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 29c | 46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 76c | 45.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed Under | 45c | 26.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 73c | 20.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-2.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Birmingham City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.