Asian League · resolved market
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x586daa1043250f545b2b3c9e581ffdc3e7c7b5af931036873012fafaacec7c03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 2,152$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.04 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 48c | 1,757$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 841.23$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.84 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed No | 77c | 516.23$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.03 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 61c | 320.53$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Yes | 26c | 319.68$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 50c | 268.68$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.34 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 40c | 247.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.85 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…3792backed Yes | 49c | 209.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.88 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 58c | 186.27$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.04 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc69…34cabacked Yes | 35c | 133.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 10c | 123.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 60c | 101.53$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1e…8107backed Yes | 61c | 85.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 51c | 81.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 39c | 71.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…5a88backed Yes | 49c | 71.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed No | 43c | 67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 42c | 49.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa88…9ff5backed No | 39c | 42.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 57c | 42.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…5c32backed No | 39c | 42.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 62c | 40.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d4…dcfcbacked Yes | 50c | 26.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Yes | 58c | 19.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed No | 68c | 16.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 40 | 85%34 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.