Asian League · resolved market
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb870104e468f28f0774de170d4e8903914aca4b2f7b9fa2e3b9febe1ea698926
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 20c | 4,775$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.09 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 2,037$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.45 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 68c | 1,754$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.31 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 17c | 1,531$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.48 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 45c | 531.24$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.18 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 47c | 459.95$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.77 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9333…4100backed Over | 57c | 445.74$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8874…ba49backed Under | 44c | 320.68$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 56c | 294.33$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 20c | 288$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 17c | 281.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Over | 52c | 271.25$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 53c | 185.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 180.48$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 56c | 177.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Over | 58c | 172.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 53c | 166.77$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.39 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 53c | 150.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 79c | 137.5$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 129.43$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.78 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 53c | 124.15$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 48c | 119.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 55c | 119.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 33c | 107.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf52…9cc4backed Under | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…f53abacked Over | 13c | 83.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 45c | 81.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 50.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 51c | 49.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 57c | 36.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 57c | 23.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Under | 59c | 21.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 40 | 85%34 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 80c | 20.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…d9b8backed Over | 56c | 18.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…f7a9backed Under | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.