CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7ccc6d5c0e89635cd2c558cd214f69aa7145f60799206130cfed1e6b7314c36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked SPARTA | 74c | 4,401$3,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.68 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked MOUZ NXT | 17c | 1,207$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed MOUZ NXT | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed MOUZ NXT | 27c | 999.97$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed MOUZ NXT | 30c | 965.83$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.09 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked MOUZ NXT | 25c | 962$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.5 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MOUZ NXT | 25c | 907.4$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.85 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed MOUZ NXT | 22c | 877.4$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.3 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked SPARTA | 80c | 684.99$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.02 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…12babacked SPARTA | 69c | 651.47$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.88 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked MOUZ NXT | 20c | 624.76$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.48 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SPARTA | 76c | 581.78$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.13 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked SPARTA | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked SPARTA | 69c | 465.6$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.5 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed MOUZ NXT | 26c | 415.36$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed SPARTA | 69c | 395.08$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.62 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5299…c4e0backed MOUZ NXT | 14c | 360.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked MOUZ NXT | 7c | 349.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked MOUZ NXT | 25c | 294$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked SPARTA | 69c | 291.2$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.27 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MOUZ NXT | 29c | 289.12$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.84 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed SPARTA | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed MOUZ NXT | 31c | 239.41$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed MOUZ NXT | 25c | 209.68$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SPARTA | 71c | 202.96$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed MOUZ NXT | 26c | 197.48$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f8…2560backed SPARTA | 68c | 191.03$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…cf6bbacked MOUZ NXT | 8c | 190.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 143 | 31.5%45 W · 98 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SPARTA | 73c | 188.4$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…c3a8backed SPARTA | 72c | 166.97$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 316 | 73.7%233 W · 83 L | +23.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed SPARTA | 73c | 153.72$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed SPARTA | 73c | 121.92$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed MOUZ NXT | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed SPARTA | 68c | 110$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…7a70backed MOUZ NXT | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 155 | 40%62 W · 93 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…ea61backed MOUZ NXT | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 130 | 63.1%82 W · 48 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked MOUZ NXT | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed MOUZ NXT | 24c | 93.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked MOUZ NXT | 31c | 92.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…11a5backed SPARTA | 77c | 67.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 66cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed SPARTA | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed MOUZ NXT | 27c | 58.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed MOUZ NXT | 35c | 43.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…bbd3backed MOUZ NXT | 25c | 42.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce1…e289backed SPARTA | 78c | 42.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked SPARTA | 69c | 42.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…e4f5backed SPARTA | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed SPARTA | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked SPARTA | 73c | 28.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…11b8backed SPARTA | 73c | 20.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked SPARTA | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c4…2535backed SPARTA | 67c | 17.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group DSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+3.5)SPARTA won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)MOUZ NXT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.