TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZ NXTof SPARTA, MOUZ NXT
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,098
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,714

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,098 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x691a…12babacked SPARTA47c8,580$4,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,027.683129%9 W · 22 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-33%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ NXT59c5,246$3,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,141.991,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed SPARTA41c2,812$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.9222142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b46…7437backed SPARTA40c2,256$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.13742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed MOUZ NXT50c2,233$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.832,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed MOUZ NXT38c1,911$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.47546.7%35 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed MOUZ NXT53c1,780$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.441,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked SPARTA53c1,418$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.5726546.8%124 W · 141 L-18.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked SPARTA48c1,308$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.337,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked MOUZ NXT47c1,273$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.451,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c4d…b0edbacked SPARTA67c1,163$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.41662.5%10 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ NXT51c1,134$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.791,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked MOUZ NXT52c1,012$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.732,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed MOUZ NXT35c999.99$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.9929449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed SPARTA64c818.72$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.8715244.7%68 W · 84 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed MOUZ NXT58c800$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.562,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed MOUZ NXT39c666$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.2635953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked SPARTA68c617.66$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.0192456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked SPARTA27c513.39$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14018444%81 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed SPARTA44c509.99$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.451,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SPARTA42c499.39$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.145,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a75…fc33backed SPARTA29c478.58$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404940.8%20 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed SPARTA43c459.05$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.846,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4377…74c2backed SPARTA32c425.44$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1365527.3%15 W · 40 L-10.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-44.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed MOUZ NXT44c412.74$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.744,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed MOUZ NXT39c406.49$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.9632443.5%141 W · 183 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed MOUZ NXT38c403.69$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.691,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed MOUZ NXT47c400$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21327831.7%88 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed MOUZ NXT54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1841,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed SPARTA41c350$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1449842.9%42 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89af…2c91backed MOUZ NXT31c326.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+116.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed SPARTA62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025252.8%133 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed MOUZ NXT56c315$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1533146.5%154 W · 177 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked MOUZ NXT36c306.59$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.932,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae5…72d2backed MOUZ NXT53c302.6$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.5720154.7%110 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7126…bfcbbacked MOUZ NXT34c282.77$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.9219548.2%94 W · 101 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked SPARTA45c271.73$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2558745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d03…b8a6backed MOUZ NXT37c264.86$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.8618253.8%98 W · 84 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6840…6003backed SPARTA63c263.49$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1668361.4%51 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa17b…95cbbacked MOUZ NXT75c262.41$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.61782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ffa…7710backed SPARTA22c260.14$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0810643.4%46 W · 60 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed MOUZ NXT50c252.22$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.641,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked MOUZ NXT40c250.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.3724038.3%92 W · 148 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed MOUZ NXT31c239.41$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.4128843.1%124 W · 164 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1325…2e99backed SPARTA76c238.56$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed MOUZ NXT32c230.84$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.9755039.6%218 W · 332 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed MOUZ NXT32c223.21$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7935839.4%141 W · 217 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed MOUZ NXT32c221.03$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.5861034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed SPARTA51c197.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020156.7%114 W · 87 L-0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3d…51b8backed SPARTA21c185.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ NXT58c170.32$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.854,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked SPARTA42c151.8$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.34,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed MOUZ NXT33c151.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2636749.3%181 W · 186 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked MOUZ NXT45c141.42$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3230638.9%119 W · 187 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9417…bbd3backed SPARTA41c139.61$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.756942%29 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed MOUZ NXT38c124.23$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9939038.5%150 W · 240 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked MOUZ NXT48c121.27$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8330450.7%154 W · 150 L-0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked MOUZ NXT74c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.830349.8%151 W · 152 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddbd…bcb5backed MOUZ NXT36c107.39$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8816720.4%34 W · 133 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-35.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked MOUZ NXT40c103.09$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8541250.2%207 W · 205 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed SPARTA66c101.15$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6322654.9%124 W · 102 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed MOUZ NXT56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4435861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed MOUZ NXT30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8680740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed SPARTA59c86.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0719449%95 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed SPARTA44c86.46$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3562248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dec…53b0backed MOUZ NXT58c85$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.021546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed SPARTA47c70.87$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3130939.2%121 W · 188 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1110…ea61backed MOUZ NXT54c69.69$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2513063.1%82 W · 48 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc31d…6acabacked SPARTA45c65.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked SPARTA41c62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed MOUZ NXT30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed MOUZ NXT34c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333852.6%20 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked SPARTA70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3514661.6%90 W · 56 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed SPARTA46c47.37$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.942,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf490…63afbacked MOUZ NXT59c46.44$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.047536%27 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked SPARTA40c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1841054.6%224 W · 186 L-2.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed SPARTA48c42.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4241853.6%224 W · 194 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9ac…1694backed SPARTA66c42.2$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.85850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07e2…6099backed SPARTA48c41.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7610657.5%61 W · 45 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed SPARTA61c38.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.582,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x257c…a408backed SPARTA54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208045%36 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd181…6a2bbacked SPARTA70c35.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.595757.9%33 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb6…2ea0backed MOUZ NXT47c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.422045%9 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed SPARTA74c33.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522555.6%125 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb911…d6d0backed SPARTA60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked SPARTA43c32.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146152.5%32 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdee7…da08backed MOUZ NXT60c32.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.07771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+35.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked SPARTA55c32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.650358.6%295 W · 208 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7dc…4f6ebacked MOUZ NXT53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.13652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x330f…91b1backed MOUZ NXT63c29.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.116256.8%92 W · 70 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked SPARTA52c29.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9921060%126 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a4…4bc1backed SPARTA48c28.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.634454.5%24 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked MOUZ NXT39c27.03$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4985054.4%462 W · 388 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3edb…11b8backed MOUZ NXT55c26.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.048541.2%35 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked SPARTA47c25.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2774653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed SPARTA47c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8351446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc06…7f72backed MOUZ NXT58c22.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.683438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked MOUZ NXT58c22.07$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.271,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed SPARTA53c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6321251.9%110 W · 102 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed MOUZ NXT54c21.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.772650%13 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.