Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs Ghost Gaming GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x709b3fd407357a1ef9a0733b68a767eba6c1fab5a7faef03bf0f342795ae2404
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shopify Rebellion Goldof Shopify Rebellion Gold, Ghost Gaming GC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcadf…1f60backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 74c | 6,798$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.02 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…ce7dbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 74c | 4,586$3,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.91 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 76c | 4,005$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Ghost Gaming GC | 25c | 3,002$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.39 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Ghost Gaming GC | 26c | 3,000$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776 | 420 | 35%147 W · 273 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Ghost Gaming GC | 27c | 2,011$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.7 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…b465backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 74c | 1,513$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.89 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Ghost Gaming GC | 24c | 1,438$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.86 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 71c | 1,287$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.34 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked Ghost Gaming GC | 25c | 1,280$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.51 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed Ghost Gaming GC | 29c | 800$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed Ghost Gaming GC | 24c | 732.83$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Ghost Gaming GC | 24c | 502.6$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…cf6bbacked Ghost Gaming GC | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked Ghost Gaming GC | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed Ghost Gaming GC | 28c | 477.71$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.56 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked Ghost Gaming GC | 25c | 328.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 76c | 328$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e36…6cb1backed Ghost Gaming GC | 30c | 323.87$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…6c2abacked Ghost Gaming GC | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…48b5backed Ghost Gaming GC | 30c | 316.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked Ghost Gaming GC | 30c | 314$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Ghost Gaming GC | 29c | 299.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Ghost Gaming GC | 28c | 282.02$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Ghost Gaming GC | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Ghost Gaming GC | 30c | 245.79$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed Ghost Gaming GC | 24c | 235$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd18c…6205backed Ghost Gaming GC | 26c | 201$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Ghost Gaming GC | 25c | 200.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 76c | 200$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Ghost Gaming GC | 26c | 178$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…a80dbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 75c | 174.44$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 73c | 161.7$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Ghost Gaming GC | 26c | 161.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Ghost Gaming GC | 25c | 161$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…4084backed Ghost Gaming GC | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Ghost Gaming GC | 25c | 159.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed Ghost Gaming GC | 25c | 156$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Ghost Gaming GC | 25c | 155$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…4fb3backed Ghost Gaming GC | 24c | 148.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 74c | 128.16$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Ghost Gaming GC | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 74c | 93.11$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7322…9f57backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 76c | 84.21$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed Ghost Gaming GC | 24c | 82.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 109 | 75.2%82 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646a…cd90backed Ghost Gaming GC | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ad…e057backed Ghost Gaming GC | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Ghost Gaming GC | 25c | 52.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Ghost Gaming GC | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 76c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 73c | 25.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1b…4ea6backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 77c | 19.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs Ghost Gaming GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffsthis page
- Map Handicap: SRG (-1.5) vs Ghost Gaming GC (+1.5)Shopify Rebellion Gold won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.