Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: SRG (-1.5) vs Ghost Gaming GC (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dbcc62914583490b0aa23f096414dd03d4547ca42b03393b81ae63e27fd1572
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shopify Rebellion Goldof Shopify Rebellion Gold, Ghost Gaming GC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 52c | 2,378$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…b417backed Ghost Gaming GC | 48c | 863.99$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Ghost Gaming GC | 48c | 639.59$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.14 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Ghost Gaming GC | 48c | 385.08$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.01 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Ghost Gaming GC | 49c | 340.32$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.9 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed Ghost Gaming GC | 46c | 281.68$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Ghost Gaming GC | 48c | 196.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked Ghost Gaming GC | 50c | 188.68$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked Ghost Gaming GC | 48c | 173$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.04 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Ghost Gaming GC | 48c | 154.19$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.81 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Ghost Gaming GC | 47c | 144$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Ghost Gaming GC | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: SRG (-1.5) vs Ghost Gaming GC (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs Ghost Gaming GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America PlayoffsShopify Rebellion Gold won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.