Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17556818edb73605ab8a0d5d537cc37001807f45af9ac37847cacbb063758d2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dragon Ranger Gamingof EDward Gaming, Dragon Ranger Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 58c | 7,650$4,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,215.99 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…5343backed EDward Gaming | 42c | 2,731$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0e…b995backed EDward Gaming | 42c | 2,249$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 58c | 1,713$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.36 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed EDward Gaming | 42c | 1,168$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.31 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed EDward Gaming | 42c | 1,071$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.94 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 58c | 888$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.96 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed EDward Gaming | 42c | 790$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ab…13a1backed EDward Gaming | 42c | 540$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed EDward Gaming | 42c | 440.48$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…c4bfbacked EDward Gaming | 42c | 420$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c49…03d0backed EDward Gaming | 42c | 420$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed EDward Gaming | 42c | 404.76$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed EDward Gaming | 48c | 226.38$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.87 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 52c | 219.18$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.21 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf681…9b77backed EDward Gaming | 42c | 210$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 58c | 164.76$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed EDward Gaming | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce42…5cddbacked EDward Gaming | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 60c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Dragon Ranger Gaming | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 59c | 28.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Dragon Ranger Gaming | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China PlayoffsEDward Gaming won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 1 WinnerDragon Ranger Gaming won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 WinnerEDward Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.