Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc26f4a32b1457195e8a6ec8706c981f1412a31c4156ec4c418ad2355353b7886
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b10…9659backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.99 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed G2 Esports | 38c | 1,019$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.75 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed G2 Esports | 38c | 880$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.07 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 627.06$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.51 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed G2 Esports | 38c | 485$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.7 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed G2 Esports | 75c | 399.98$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 305$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 256.94$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.87 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed G2 Esports | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked 100 Thieves | 16c | 168.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed G2 Esports | 36c | 111.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.26 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed3…fc81backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 107.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce18…aff0backed G2 Esports | 40c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked 100 Thieves | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.