Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbae0758dbfb20aa781e384dbecfc28a784af85944e939dfa43e42df485f4a4e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed G2 Esports | 71c | 14,500$10,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250.52 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked 100 Thieves | 29c | 8,057$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.81 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 100 Thieves | 30c | 3,247$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.99 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed 100 Thieves | 29c | 3,213$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.9 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 1,921$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.72 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed G2 Esports | 66c | 1,920$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.96 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked G2 Esports | 79c | 978.07$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.47 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 811.85$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.14 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked G2 Esports | 70c | 791.01$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.87 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked 100 Thieves | 7c | 757.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…5095backed 100 Thieves | 14c | 721.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves | 17c | 649.64$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.74 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed G2 Esports | 73c | 574.01$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.98 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed G2 Esports | 74c | 557$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.82 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…6091backed 100 Thieves | 11c | 468.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed G2 Esports | 70c | 432.49$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed G2 Esports | 67c | 423.7$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.82 | 256 | 60.9%156 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed 100 Thieves | 13c | 418.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed G2 Esports | 71c | 356.09$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 100 Thieves | 18c | 336$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…cd6bbacked 100 Thieves | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 303.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -10.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked 100 Thieves | 20c | 259.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed G2 Esports | 71c | 252.11$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.11 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed 100 Thieves | 29c | 249.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked 100 Thieves | 14c | 235.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…c845backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 220$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1753…a647backed 100 Thieves | 30c | 216.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed G2 Esports | 77c | 175.66$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 100 Thieves | 32c | 159.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked 100 Thieves | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked G2 Esports | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 100 Thieves | 32c | 142.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed 100 Thieves | 30c | 132.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked 100 Thieves | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +12.2wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 100 Thieves | 12c | 104.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed 100 Thieves | 14c | 78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed G2 Esports | 72c | 72.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 100 Thieves | 29c | 71.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 63.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed 100 Thieves | 22c | 57.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed G2 Esports | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed G2 Esports | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…6215backed 100 Thieves | 34c | 45.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed G2 Esports | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 147 | 37.4%55 W · 92 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed G2 Esports | 71c | 37.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ed98backed G2 Esports | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5d…d5dfbacked G2 Esports | 79c | 25.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce42…5cddbacked G2 Esports | 68c | 20.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed G2 Esports | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.