Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x947e6f1937f34171de63cc391ac70abafd398720116a30985771649bb009e3f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 36c | 13,942$4,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,971.5 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 64c | 10,307$6,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,713.82 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 65c | 1,891$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.96 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 66c | 1,833$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.54 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb654…7be3backed Under | 64c | 1,682$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.52 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 65c | 1,546$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.6 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1,320 | 38.6%510 W · 810 L | -66.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed Under | 64c | 757$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.25 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Under | 64c | 640.74$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.67 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 35c | 530.64$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.72 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 903 | 50.8%459 W · 444 L | +17.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…b387backed Over | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 37c | 271.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 46.3%95 W · 110 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Over | 37c | 263$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 65c | 249.89$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.44 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Over | 35c | 241$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.19 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 67c | 232.6$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.21 | 1,616 | 43.8%708 W · 908 L | -74.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Under | 65c | 164$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 66c | 142$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 63c | 116.25$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 64c | 104.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b5…c0aebacked Under | 64c | 79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 36c | 79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 65c | 77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 406 | 45.6%185 W · 221 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Under | 69c | 70.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 923 | 54.3%501 W · 422 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Under | 65c | 62.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 316 | 46.5%147 W · 169 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 65c | 60.46$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…c314backed Under | 65c | 54.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb5…6afdbacked Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Under | 63c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Over | 37c | 41.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Under | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 68c | 37.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…5f36backed Under | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 69c | 35.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,577 | 48.4%764 W · 813 L | +17.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…40afbacked Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 345 | 65.5%226 W · 119 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 411 | 41.6%171 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…2079backed Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)Dplus KIA won
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Dplus KIA won
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.