TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
DN SOOPers Challengersof T1 Academy, DN SOOPers Challengers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,057
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,237

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,057 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6918…782bbacked DN SOOPers Challengers66c5,139$3,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,747.191,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed T1 Academy38c1,695$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.151044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked T1 Academy34c1,671$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.127042.9%30 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed DN SOOPers Challengers62c1,500$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.0648440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed T1 Academy34c1,306$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.0452538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed DN SOOPers Challengers70c1,054$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.141,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed T1 Academy30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30085746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac42…60d1backed T1 Academy34c506.97$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.167626.3%20 W · 56 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e6f…3be7backed T1 Academy34c423.53$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1448641.9%36 W · 50 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bd5…b74abacked T1 Academy34c399.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1361931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x412f…ff77backed T1 Academy34c370$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.82441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f2…aeb7backed T1 Academy33c348$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5420542.4%87 W · 118 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed T1 Academy34c326.87$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11124235.5%86 W · 156 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked DN SOOPers Challengers67c298$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3414429.2%42 W · 102 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed DN SOOPers Challengers63c243.68$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2939859.8%238 W · 160 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked T1 Academy29c99.96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9963646.9%298 W · 338 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda4a…1c05backed T1 Academy34c84.73$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.813030%9 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7be8…0f50backed T1 Academy34c84.71$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.812657.1%72 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7dce…c58ebacked T1 Academy34c82$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.881770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+35.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed T1 Academy29c75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7560849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked DN SOOPers Challengers71c70.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.684360.1%507 W · 336 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked DN SOOPers Challengers71c67.84$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6734357.1%196 W · 147 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked T1 Academy31c66.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6923831.5%75 W · 163 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked DN SOOPers Challengers67c49.23$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2512347.2%58 W · 65 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed DN SOOPers Challengers71c45.07$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0786144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed DN SOOPers Challengers68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.675150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed DN SOOPers Challengers67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.628559.6%170 W · 115 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a32…3d58backed DN SOOPers Challengers70c18.57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.57742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6700…67c4backed DN SOOPers Challengers71c15.42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4711649.1%57 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x868f…5da6backed DN SOOPers Challengers71c14.14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.119656.6%111 W · 85 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.