TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Trevor Svajda

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trevor Svajdaof Luca Nardi, Trevor Svajda
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,143
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,818

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,143 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83b4…13c9backed Trevor Svajda21c10,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,9003647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Luca Nardi28c5,999$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.032,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Luca Nardi38c5,254$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.742,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Luca Nardi36c5,164$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,872.045623.2%13 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Trevor Svajda29c4,958$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,533.7881349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2301…c95fbacked Trevor Svajda56c4,368$2,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.614759.6%28 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Luca Nardi73c3,907$2,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,847.326,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Luca Nardi77c2,091$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.8665959%389 W · 270 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Luca Nardi73c2,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.9944263.6%281 W · 161 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Trevor Svajda69c1,835$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.531,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Trevor Svajda74c1,350$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35146544.3%206 W · 259 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Luca Nardi28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30071725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Trevor Svajda53c1,031$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.762,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Luca Nardi20c994.27$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.856,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Luca Nardi43c993.97$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.117,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Trevor Svajda21c972.47$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.9724837.1%92 W · 156 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Trevor Svajda25c943.12$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.3411,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Trevor Svajda27c875.87$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.393467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Luca Nardi23c860$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.618936%68 W · 121 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Luca Nardi70c857.66$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60052460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Trevor Svajda35c770.96$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.262,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Luca Nardi65c744.62$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.218,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Luca Nardi21c707$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.471,85348.4%897 W · 956 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f2…a822backed Luca Nardi73c687$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.2111158.6%65 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Trevor Svajda50c596.15$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.151,12542.8%482 W · 643 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Luca Nardi50c587.13$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.073,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75b3…be68backed Luca Nardi74c474.55$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.174040%16 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Luca Nardi71c443.98$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.2322344.8%100 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Trevor Svajda59c421.05$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.514,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Luca Nardi74c400$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29642046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Luca Nardi38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15027935.8%100 W · 179 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Trevor Svajda27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.371,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30cf…cf8ebacked Trevor Svajda29c342.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+71.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Trevor Svajda31c340$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.543042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7693…ba75backed Trevor Svajda27c331$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.635425.9%14 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Trevor Svajda27c326$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.9838133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Luca Nardi72c325$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2341,68350.6%851 W · 832 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Trevor Svajda28c325$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23448552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Luca Nardi73c302.74$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22022949.8%114 W · 115 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Luca Nardi79c271.67$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.6211752.1%61 W · 56 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Trevor Svajda28c269.65$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.981,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Trevor Svajda21c267.72$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.621,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Trevor Svajda21c267.38$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.4595846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Luca Nardi8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,03050%515 W · 515 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Trevor Svajda30c191$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.0437342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Trevor Svajda37c173.25$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.346,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dee…f426backed Trevor Svajda28c168.89$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.62065%13 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Trevor Svajda30c149.97$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.983,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Trevor Svajda27c136$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2831332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb2…fea3backed Luca Nardi63c130.56$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.257945.6%36 W · 43 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Trevor Svajda26c128.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4638048.4%184 W · 196 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Luca Nardi22c128.73$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.324,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Trevor Svajda30c125$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0734744.4%154 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Luca Nardi27c111$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9725957.5%149 W · 110 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Trevor Svajda29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4532246.9%151 W · 171 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0fc…b09fbacked Luca Nardi30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306758.2%39 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Trevor Svajda31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.161,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Trevor Svajda76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2469249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Luca Nardi72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7277967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Luca Nardi27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2751539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Luca Nardi72c97.71$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.311,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Trevor Svajda27c95.88$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.927,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Trevor Svajda28c94$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6854434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeb32…787dbacked Luca Nardi73c86.3$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638068.8%55 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90b5…4e3dbacked Trevor Svajda25c81.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+33.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Luca Nardi79c81$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.991,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Trevor Svajda29c80$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.836261.6%223 W · 139 L+40.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Luca Nardi57c78.85$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4523554.5%128 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Trevor Svajda28c70.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2254050.4%272 W · 268 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Luca Nardi73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89bc…a463backed Luca Nardi53c65.55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356650%33 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5358…44e8backed Trevor Svajda25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452548%12 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x713b…ee60backed Luca Nardi36c56.47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.595628.6%16 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef49…1207backed Trevor Svajda29c51.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.725749.1%28 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74f1…fb49backed Trevor Svajda27c48$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.96634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8510…57e6backed Luca Nardi23c47.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.012955.2%16 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+33.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Luca Nardi78c46.25$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.046,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Luca Nardi31c45.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.982,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked Trevor Svajda27c43.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.971258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Luca Nardi47c42.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9157252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Trevor Svajda28c39.88$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7118233.5%61 W · 121 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Trevor Svajda54c39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.944,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4820…bc0fbacked Luca Nardi70c38.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.074650%23 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Luca Nardi72c35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21,83253%971 W · 861 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d7…3942backed Luca Nardi72c34.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.192955.2%16 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick69cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa74d…734cbacked Luca Nardi74c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.228462.3%177 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc01d…2e79backed Trevor Svajda62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.53438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e3…40a0backed Trevor Svajda62c29.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.311759.8%70 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Trevor Svajda61c29.64$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5647057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa366…0c35backed Luca Nardi75c26.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205669.6%39 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick69cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd534…061abacked Luca Nardi76c21.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1630%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Luca Nardi70c21.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7632649.1%160 W · 166 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4af0…7696backed Luca Nardi62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.331861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Luca Nardi77c19.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0515650%78 W · 78 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Luca Nardi77c19.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0530254.3%164 W · 138 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1e…5a2abacked Luca Nardi73c16.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.81070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Trevor Svajda70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.593048.8%454 W · 476 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.