TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Utah State Aggies vs. San Diego State Aztecs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
San Diego State Aztecsof Utah State Aggies, San Diego State Aztecs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,715
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,316

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,715 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf41a…ea2bbacked San Diego State Aztecs52c3,333$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.842,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Utah State Aggies47c2,773$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.1374051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x885a…6042backed Utah State Aggies49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddda…78ccbacked San Diego State Aztecs51c2,429$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1901100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed San Diego State Aztecs53c2,400$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12811850%59 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Utah State Aggies49c1,909$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.3812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed San Diego State Aztecs51c1,906$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.412,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed San Diego State Aztecs71c1,896$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.383,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Utah State Aggies47c1,687$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.0315748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Utah State Aggies48c1,416$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.655,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Utah State Aggies15c1,290$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0943450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked San Diego State Aztecs54c1,285$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.115062%31 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Utah State Aggies13c1,053$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.8936535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88af…62b9backed Utah State Aggies3c1,033$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.22748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Utah State Aggies47c991.28$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.916350.9%83 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Utah State Aggies25c957.38$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.431,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed San Diego State Aztecs52c924.01$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.9989850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked San Diego State Aztecs75c901.41$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.734,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Utah State Aggies46c761$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.0626749.1%131 W · 136 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddc…83b9backed San Diego State Aztecs51c755.29$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.57048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked San Diego State Aztecs50c743.78$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.062,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed San Diego State Aztecs52c735.52$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.0513746.7%64 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Utah State Aggies2c707.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.99626.5%4 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Utah State Aggies21c694.42$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7281528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Utah State Aggies49c673.5$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.0111048.2%53 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked San Diego State Aztecs47c650$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.51,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked San Diego State Aztecs49c647.25$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.415,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Utah State Aggies50c625.48$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.771,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc808…1e04backed Utah State Aggies6c623.77$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.431450%7 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Utah State Aggies43c581.41$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.5534943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Utah State Aggies59c519.82$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.4345351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Utah State Aggies49c499.99$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2452,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Utah State Aggies52c476.57$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.8225130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Utah State Aggies13c464.1$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.594,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed San Diego State Aztecs51c388.73$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.4816253.1%86 W · 76 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dee…f426backed San Diego State Aztecs55c378.49$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.323363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Utah State Aggies50c322.16$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.082540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Utah State Aggies10c310.51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.211,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd20f…f5c7backed Utah State Aggies51c301.26$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.64944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Utah State Aggies48c297.38$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7493447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed San Diego State Aztecs48c296.39$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.1472248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked San Diego State Aztecs53c264.67$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.474152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Utah State Aggies46c230.59$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.972,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked San Diego State Aztecs49c229.25$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.0677142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed San Diego State Aztecs50c225$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.516436%59 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Utah State Aggies47c210.91$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Utah State Aggies48c206.02$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1335646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Utah State Aggies36c205.38$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7549345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf48d…fe48backed San Diego State Aztecs49c205$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5512649.2%62 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eee…9b2bbacked San Diego State Aztecs51c203.21$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.575543.6%24 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fc4…db58backed San Diego State Aztecs50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+70%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Utah State Aggies7c199.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9742934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Utah State Aggies46c196$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1650745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d6…e952backed San Diego State Aztecs51c194.36$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.247350.7%37 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Utah State Aggies32c148.83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8671655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Utah State Aggies47c137.49$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6212748.8%62 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed San Diego State Aztecs52c134.24$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7343053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07b7…40efbacked Utah State Aggies15c109.51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Utah State Aggies48c103.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5683350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed San Diego State Aztecs51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4949157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed San Diego State Aztecs59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.81,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Utah State Aggies30c99.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.791,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Utah State Aggies50c99.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5616721%35 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked San Diego State Aztecs50c99.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5622640.7%92 W · 134 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Utah State Aggies50c99.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5638351.7%198 W · 185 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed San Diego State Aztecs54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa82f…9fb8backed Utah State Aggies40c86.87$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.37666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+83.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed San Diego State Aztecs73c86.33$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.448234.1%28 W · 54 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked San Diego State Aztecs49c76.28$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8870349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked San Diego State Aztecs54c75.74$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8421646.8%101 W · 115 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed San Diego State Aztecs76c75.5$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0318557.8%107 W · 78 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Utah State Aggies50c69.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6913050%65 W · 65 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4855…6a41backed San Diego State Aztecs51c61.56$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1632652.8%172 W · 154 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Utah State Aggies48c60.15$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8748855.1%269 W · 219 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Utah State Aggies32c59.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0511542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d3f…c002backed Utah State Aggies18c55.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.03771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+50.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5581…c029backed Utah State Aggies54c54.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.424035%14 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Utah State Aggies29c54.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.931,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed San Diego State Aztecs50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2514546.9%68 W · 77 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Utah State Aggies52c49.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7752353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02f0…6122backed San Diego State Aztecs51c49.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.29683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+71.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ec…8debbacked San Diego State Aztecs52c42.63$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.295657.1%32 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed San Diego State Aztecs47c42.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5519348.7%94 W · 99 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…2e74backed San Diego State Aztecs52c40.77$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4719860.1%119 W · 79 L+15.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x680d…98b8backed Utah State Aggies52c38.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.832853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa3c…61e2backed San Diego State Aztecs54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Utah State Aggies29c35.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4270936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacf9…780dbacked Utah State Aggies50c35.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.94425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x610d…6c37backed Utah State Aggies50c35.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.732240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd63…42d8backed San Diego State Aztecs51c35.43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cec…7c61backed Utah State Aggies46c33.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.378446.4%39 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Utah State Aggies47c32.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3727055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x891d…742cbacked San Diego State Aztecs51c30.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.07560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff1a…5d2cbacked Utah State Aggies50c30.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Utah State Aggies41c29.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.962650%13 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe8…4dd8backed Utah State Aggies50c28.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7142…e23ebacked San Diego State Aztecs51c28.38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x043c…595fbacked San Diego State Aztecs55c27.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.391163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de3…2039backed San Diego State Aztecs51c26.15$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.81475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb4…a6b5backed Utah State Aggies50c25.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.