TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mexican Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Sho Shimabukuro

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Shimabukuroof Svajda, Shimabukuro
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,984
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,772

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,984 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac75…1319backed Shimabukuro23c30,000$6,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,102.5511149.5%55 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Shimabukuro48c20,872$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,871.6735247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Svajda77c12,071$9,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,294.6715952.2%83 W · 76 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Svajda77c6,494$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Svajda42c5,850$2,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,442.251,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Svajda56c5,440$3,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,020.633,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Svajda77c4,470$3,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,44210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Svajda50c3,923$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.192,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Svajda75c3,203$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,41010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Shimabukuro25c2,331$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.5930542.6%130 W · 175 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Svajda77c2,275$1,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,751.7514450.7%73 W · 71 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Svajda45c1,989$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9005145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Svajda54c1,454$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.4981349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Svajda46c1,428$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.361,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Shimabukuro60c1,317$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.125117.6%9 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-63.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Svajda77c1,212$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.2433241.6%138 W · 194 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe846…35a9backed Shimabukuro25c1,211$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.25922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Svajda75c1,093$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.278248.8%40 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb30a…7fc3backed Svajda77c1,055$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick76cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Svajda35c1,000$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3514250%21 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10dd…4831backed Svajda77c1,000$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77011858.5%69 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Svajda47c994$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.9797046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Svajda47c899$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.9499044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Svajda47c855.5$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.382,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Shimabukuro24c829.62$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.51,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Shimabukuro25c786.98$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.049949.5%49 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Svajda75c762.73$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.411,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Shimabukuro35c714.59$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.822,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Shimabukuro72c623.33$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.512,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Svajda75c604.56$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.121338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Shimabukuro25c588.23$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.3827836.3%101 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Svajda52c551.8$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.632,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Shimabukuro27c525.17$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.5219338.9%75 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+109.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Shimabukuro74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13030339.9%121 W · 182 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Svajda75c422.04$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.5360641.6%252 W · 354 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Shimabukuro48c390.53$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.716,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dee…f426backed Svajda77c389.61$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002065%13 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Shimabukuro24c347.1$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.814949.7%74 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Svajda41c345.66$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.44,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb58…a62ebacked Shimabukuro68c327.36$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.521767.7%147 W · 70 L-0.8wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Shimabukuro28c303.57$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.964,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Shimabukuro24c300.57$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.4343042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Svajda77c300$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23124060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Shimabukuro25c284$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21399056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Svajda74c273.82$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6313450.7%68 W · 66 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Shimabukuro38c272.81$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.066,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e49…fb01backed Shimabukuro61c261.02$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.15425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-58.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3be6…05b1backed Svajda77c260.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009955.6%55 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…6405backed Svajda77c259.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Svajda41c221.27$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6918551.4%95 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Svajda37c216.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013923.7%33 W · 106 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Shimabukuro46c214.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.937521.3%16 W · 59 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-62.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Svajda73c210$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.695547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked Svajda77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1542763%17 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Shimabukuro23c199.49$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.6145343.9%199 W · 254 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aff…5f17backed Svajda77c199.49$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.61944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Svajda76c197.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.81,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe062…61fdbacked Svajda73c191.78$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010649.1%52 W · 54 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shimabukuro20c190.01$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.913,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Shimabukuro24c182.5$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.718133.1%60 W · 121 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x839a…e59cbacked Svajda76c173$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.481741.2%7 W · 10 L-4.5wins-0.26per pick67cpaid-38.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Svajda76c165.92$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.432649.1%160 W · 166 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Shimabukuro25c144$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1885748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Shimabukuro23c135.66$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.4612450.8%63 W · 61 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Shimabukuro24c130.5$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.184060%24 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+46.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f25…8c36backed Svajda76c127.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965373.6%39 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Shimabukuro57c122.52$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5223554.5%128 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0121…f82cbacked Shimabukuro27c121.2$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.484030%12 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Svajda52c108.86$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.177,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Shimabukuro24c101$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.711540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Shimabukuro64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3654348.1%261 W · 282 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f3e…bb7abacked Svajda74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Svajda76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3114949.7%74 W · 75 L-13.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Shimabukuro24c98.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.733,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Svajda76c91.74$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Shimabukuro22c86$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7238133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d2c…2bc4backed Svajda79c75.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60520%1 W · 4 L-2.9wins-0.58per pick78cpaid-73%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Shimabukuro26c71.22$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.731753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Svajda76c65.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf948…0931backed Shimabukuro24c64.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.94616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed57…83f4backed Svajda77c64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.28757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b89…98d6backed Svajda77c61.62$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4538866.2%257 W · 131 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Shimabukuro26c57.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6933326.4%88 W · 245 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x320f…1420backed Shimabukuro27c56.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9122258.1%129 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5904…940fbacked Svajda76c55$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6511465.8%75 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf0…b95dbacked Svajda77c52.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Svajda77c45.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Svajda80c43.35$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6859954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa3c…61e2backed Svajda76c43.29$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.91250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Svajda74c40.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8b1…0a31backed Svajda77c38.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-62.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Svajda77c38.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.983119.4%6 W · 25 L-7.6wins-0.25per pick44cpaid-68.7%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Svajda34c33.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1692548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Svajda56c33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.481,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0f…0fe0backed Svajda76c32.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Shimabukuro31c32.32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.223,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Svajda56c30.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Shimabukuro41c30.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.84,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Shimabukuro68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5188455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13f3…12ffbacked Svajda77c29.22$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.