Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Pittsburgh Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f2d1ee47d3ca9a3ca46ed288bb316058de07e2baae22d90f6bd82f67f350b70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Panthersof Notre Dame Fighting Irish, Pittsburgh Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 36c | 11,076$4,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,025.61 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 62c | 8,663$5,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,298.19 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 46c | 5,163$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.63 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 80c | 2,434$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.52 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 54c | 1,403$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.38 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 55c | 1,391$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.43 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 35c | 1,314$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.67 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 45c | 1,130$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.34 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 57c | 964.91$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.91 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 57c | 890.02$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.85 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 55c | 834.3$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.88 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 38c | 774.35$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.58 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 58c | 762$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.04 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 37c | 719.24$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.23 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 68c | 713.6$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.55 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 61c | 563.96$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.27 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 42c | 544.57$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.27 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 67c | 500$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 33c | 496.07$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.84 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…743dbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 39c | 475.5$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.83 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 54c | 462.49$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.05 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 46c | 433.09$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.22 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 44c | 424.2$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.34 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 36c | 350.65$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.76 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 19c | 345.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 45c | 334.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 45c | 323.25$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 69c | 294$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…f426backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 58c | 285.59$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 45c | 266.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.14 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 65c | 264.57$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.93 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 55c | 239.2$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 65c | 219$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.65 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 44c | 199.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 38c | 174$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 74c | 139.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 43c | 130$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 48c | 113.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 26c | 107.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 31c | 69.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 32c | 64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 35c | 62.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 63c | 60.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 62c | 54.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…e92ebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 40c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 36c | 48.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 58c | 47.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 52c | 47.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 45c | 35.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 47c | 34.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…48e3backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 56c | 32.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fd…d641backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 63c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19b…8054backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 46c | 30.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e2…3c77backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +46%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 43c | 26.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Pittsburgh Panthersthis page
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Pittsburgh Panthers: O/U 137.5Over won
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Pittsburgh Panthers: O/U 138.5Over won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Panthers (-1.5)Pittsburgh Panthers won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Panthers (-2.5)Pittsburgh Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.