Tennis · resolved market
Saint-Malo: Amandine Monnot vs Lilli Tagger
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b67c072ebea987a80c5fcd6f96ee41fa26f8246df2091d8f65123df3acb9164
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lilli Taggerof Amandine Monnot, Lilli Tagger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Amandine Monnot | 9c | 14,256$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.13 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Amandine Monnot | 0c | 5,207$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 226 | 2.2%5 W · 221 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Amandine Monnot | 17c | 3,291$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.19 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Amandine Monnot | 15c | 3,011$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.23 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Amandine Monnot | 11c | 2,692$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.07 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Amandine Monnot | 14c | 2,146$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.28 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Amandine Monnot | 4c | 1,999$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Amandine Monnot | 15c | 1,843$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.07 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Amandine Monnot | 7c | 944.03$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Amandine Monnot | 14c | 344.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 366 | 40.7%149 W · 217 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Amandine Monnot | 15c | 308.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Amandine Monnot | 16c | 278.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Amandine Monnot | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Amandine Monnot | 24c | 230$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Amandine Monnot | 13c | 229.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Amandine Monnot | 16c | 207.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Amandine Monnot | 11c | 206.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Amandine Monnot | 16c | 201.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Lilli Tagger | 77c | 183.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Lilli Tagger | 75c | 158.05$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 219 | 49.3%108 W · 111 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…dcb7backed Amandine Monnot | 12c | 136$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Amandine Monnot | 14c | 134.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 322 | 40.7%131 W · 191 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x020e…69c1backed Amandine Monnot | 10c | 110.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e83…b22fbacked Amandine Monnot | 19c | 108.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Amandine Monnot | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Amandine Monnot | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Amandine Monnot | 21c | 94.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Amandine Monnot | 14c | 84.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71e6…64dabacked Amandine Monnot | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Amandine Monnot | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Amandine Monnot | 25c | 49.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 283 | 48.4%137 W · 146 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…e46abacked Lilli Tagger | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 100 | 70%70 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.