Asian League · resolved market
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4f0c985252ffcc39e95277e32243ce7d001163e9f097eb51f1a6e4e49196ea8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 634.38$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.32 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 59c | 423.07$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.07 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…ab1fbacked Yes | 42c | 383.37$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…dbf0backed No | 43c | 252.17$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 40c | 244.45$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 37c | 205.48$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 36c | 118.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.64 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 58c | 60.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 60c | 56.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed No | 39c | 50.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed No | 55c | 48.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 37c | 44.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04d0…468abacked Yes | 57c | 34.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 36c | 29.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 63c | 26.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 64c | 16.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.