Asian League · resolved market
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb74fedb65b6777f13a8caaa6615a64914e169f7a30a97a190cee34d106361147
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 2,523$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.94 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 65c | 2,257$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.61 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 53c | 1,893$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.13 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 28c | 1,300$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…33acbacked Over | 53c | 1,231$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 42c | 1,101$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.68 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…d25fbacked Over | 53c | 1,019$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 47c | 948.03$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.75 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 40c | 665.99$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.39 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 62c | 493.65$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.07 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 445.3$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.51 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 34c | 403$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.02 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Over | 49c | 350.17$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.58 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 271.1$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.68 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 52c | 271.01$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.26 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Over | 38c | 220.93$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 156.77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.25 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 49c | 138.74$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 71c | 127.65$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 36c | 122.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 60c | 110.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 62c | 103.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 53c | 101.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 75c | 94.58$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 38c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 73c | 73.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 35c | 71.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 48c | 64.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 62c | 59.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Under | 62c | 48.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Under | 42c | 47.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 32c | 47.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 57c | 46.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 61c | 46.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Under | 79c | 46.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 60c | 40.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 39c | 39.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 59c | 38.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 41c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Under | 48c | 30.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Under | 47c | 30.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 56c | 29.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e6…74a9backed Over | 59c | 28.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 66c | 27.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ab…0c25backed Over | 58c | 25.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 78c | 23.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.