Asian League · resolved market
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30ad5e11194e28c0ec6ace64823828e368615002a3c3739bb65dbd0259fefb3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Under | 1c | 4,422$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 25c | 1,305$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.23 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 77c | 1,302$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.5 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…3248backed Under | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Under | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +462.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.24per pick | 3cpaid | +663.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.38per pick | 6cpaid | +717.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 6cpaid | +253.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 59c | 199.97$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 69c | 139.86$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Under | 22c | 131.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 75c | 110$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 64 | 79.7%51 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 19c | 105.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 24c | 92.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 63c | 69.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 60c | 67.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Under | 24c | 63.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 60c | 56.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 79c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 30c | 43.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 37c | 39.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 36c | 30.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…cb5bbacked Over | 72c | 27.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 71c | 21.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 69c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Over | 74c | 17.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 75c | 16.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-2.5)Zhejiang Zhiye FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.