Australian A League · resolved market
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcea958644bceea1a89262d0e944966804610faf5ba83f8d8cd28183034250adb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 63c | 1,062$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.2 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 845.8$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.54 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 32c | 796.38$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.75 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 42c | 239.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes | 53c | 176.8$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 42c | 167.14$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.45 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Yes | 61c | 163.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 69c | 160.15$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 55c | 157.54$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.54 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed No | 43c | 147.16$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 32c | 125.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -6.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 60c | 89.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 70c | 82.89$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…f8a0backed Yes | 69c | 65.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Yes | 62c | 64.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 32c | 62.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 32c | 62.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 69c | 60.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 68c | 52.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x735e…ac8ebacked Yes | 51c | 51.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…061cbacked Yes | 79c | 36.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 58c | 31.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Yes | 77c | 14.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.