South American Leagues · resolved market
EC Vitória vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x378297cbe5dca50d3da6ef3533170ff0cb93c47ecccc5fff32637c16ff00ae03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,377 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 3,514$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.82 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 27c | 900$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 38c | 817.03$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.25 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 59c | 355.58$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…4ac2backed Yes | 52c | 346.15$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 50c | 319.55$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.73 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 206.86$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.59 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 49c | 193.17$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.07 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab63…2629backed No | 50c | 177$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ad…d8b7backed Yes | 50c | 174.16$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…ac60backed No | 50c | 174$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x552d…0ab3backed No | 50c | 173$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9322…d957backed Yes | 50c | 172.94$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce1…a33ebacked Yes | 50c | 172.71$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…f222backed Yes | 50c | 172.36$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6999…e18dbacked No | 50c | 171$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9673…d45bbacked No | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 59c | 170$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e2…39ecbacked Yes | 50c | 166.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbb…0c10backed Yes | 50c | 164.69$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3558…4a36backed No | 50c | 163$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6929…f3b2backed Yes | 50c | 162.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e34…921bbacked Yes | 50c | 161.59$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd6…33f4backed No | 50c | 161$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e23…5319backed No | 50c | 157$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86e…3475backed No | 50c | 155$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd005…992dbacked No | 50c | 154$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…fbc2backed No | 50c | 152$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5186…7eb6backed No | 50c | 148$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…73f4backed Yes | 50c | 147.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…d1d8backed No | 50c | 143$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…6c2abacked Yes | 50c | 142.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7559…cea0backed Yes | 50c | 140.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…af62backed Yes | 50c | 140.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ff…4634backed Yes | 50c | 139.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf440…5129backed Yes | 50c | 139.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681a…1041backed Yes | 50c | 138.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5306…ed7dbacked Yes | 50c | 138.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b6…bc96backed Yes | 50c | 138.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46c…ed6abacked No | 50c | 136$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…2f26backed No | 50c | 133.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…e358backed Yes | 50c | 133.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 39c | 128.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…bbb7backed No | 50c | 126$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…c534backed No | 50c | 126$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aca…d768backed No | 50c | 126$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6b…28b6backed Yes | 51c | 78.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0a…8b2fbacked Yes | 63c | 57.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Yes | 34c | 51.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 56c | 47.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 63c | 18.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EC Vitória vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- EC Vitória vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5Under won
- EC Vitória vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.