South American Leagues · resolved market
EC Vitória vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbae6c015832112ec5f235726e621df803f98fc48f3ec4d2cd031bf4defb46416
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,209 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 40c | 32,931$13,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,104.17 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Under | 60c | 32,705$19,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,089.23 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 60c | 15,473$9,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,190.83 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 40c | 5,980$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 40c | 4,622$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.6 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 2,530$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.95 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 67c | 2,244$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.58 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 38c | 1,989$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.71 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over | 40c | 1,931$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.25 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…d5d0backed Over | 37c | 1,101$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 45c | 987$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.09 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Under | 55c | 981$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 40c | 789.6$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.84 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 39c | 625.97$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.13 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 35c | 510$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 485.76$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.26 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 36c | 407.74$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.73 | 494 | 40.9%202 W · 292 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 40c | 400.85$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.34 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 66c | 386.48$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.94 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 63c | 336$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.42 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1667…4806backed Under | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x883c…474dbacked Over | 36c | 276.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…7f3fbacked Over | 33c | 272.4$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 40c | 247.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc674…1176backed Over | 38c | 242.86$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 60c | 223.45$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.83 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 62c | 213.74$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 42c | 209.7$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.73 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Under | 64c | 195.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 18c | 165.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 42c | 160.45$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.79 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Over | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 25c | 141.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 37c | 136$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…fba6backed Under | 66c | 129.39$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Under | 61c | 125$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…c9aabacked Under | 62c | 105.28$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 61c | 80.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 40c | 76.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Under | 48c | 76.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Over | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 55c | 68.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 39c | 50.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 72c | 45.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 37c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc351…8ce7backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…4711backed Under | 61c | 43.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 42c | 40.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 39c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d2…c802backed Under | 50c | 36.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…047abacked Under | 62c | 33.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 56c | 30.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc2…8c9abacked Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Over | 42c | 27.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 40c | 26.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b07…869abacked Under | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…7f4abacked Under | 64c | 17.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EC Vitória vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5this page
- EC Vitória vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- EC Vitória vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5Over won
- EC Vitória vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.