La Liga · resolved market
AD Ceuta FC vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef3223b8a58a7e9538f16d6de296022b073f8cd3ac139cab8685b136f6ed8b6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 53c | 1,003$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.96 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 486.16$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.66 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 382.75$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.52 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 47c | 377$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.68 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 46c | 364.11$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.49 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 46c | 350$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 54c | 261.11$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.11 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 53c | 206.54$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.07 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 42c | 183.81$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.61 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 54c | 111.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.63 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked No | 47c | 93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 47c | 87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Yes | 53c | 85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 47c | 67.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed No | 47c | 59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked No | 46c | 57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed No | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Yes | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed No | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Yes | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Yes | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Yes | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Yes | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed Yes | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 1.5Over won
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 2.5Over won
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 3.5Over won
- AD Ceuta FC vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.