Asian League · resolved market
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdecdce38ef250d207ea6bc3128a14c9fa1df68386fb5bb02bbadb1742a9768a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 679.79$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.45 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 22c | 558$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.76 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb3…f4f6backed No | 68c | 352.68$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 67c | 295.13$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccb…6e97backed No | 73c | 285.94$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.94 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 31c | 257.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.93 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…aefcbacked Yes | 57c | 255.65$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 216.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked No | 47c | 186.2$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.69 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Yes | 53c | 186.2$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 56c | 177.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 33c | 161.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 109.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 44c | 103.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked No | 51c | 93.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 43c | 92.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 91.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Yes | 37c | 80.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 54c | 71.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 43c | 52.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 56c | 35.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Yes | 56c | 35.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 54c | 27.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 74c | 26.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 64c | 24.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 56c | 22.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed No | 79c | 18.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hazem SC (-1.5)Al Ittihad Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hazem SC won
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Hazem SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.