Asian League · resolved market
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1edad4bbe81d7a71813488c0735fba475684304d1a8edd6a416d3c6e11af1532
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Under | 35c | 2,756$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.13 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 65c | 1,647$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.99 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 14c | 1,059$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.06 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 933.9$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.32 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 65c | 790.3$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.92 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 479.05$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.72 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 63c | 449.84$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.06 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 79c | 309.31$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.46 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 23c | 305.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 59c | 300$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.95 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Under | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 62c | 258.98$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Over | 64c | 212.83$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 216 | 43.5%94 W · 122 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 28c | 177.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 39c | 171.23$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.81 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 64c | 144.48$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 24c | 110.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 46c | 106.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 79c | 96.95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfe…d2d0backed Under | 42c | 94.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c60…8028backed Under | 34c | 82.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…0bc7backed Under | 36c | 72.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Under | 55c | 70.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 37c | 68.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed Under | 68c | 58.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 43c | 52.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 43c | 52.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 43c | 52.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Under | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 65c | 47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e9…1a46backed Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Under | 41c | 40.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 55c | 39.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 41c | 29.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d4…5847backed Over | 65c | 22.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…d3cbbacked Over | 66c | 22.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa00…9fe3backed Over | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 55c | 20.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked Under | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 36 | 83.3%30 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 78cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 63c | 17.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 63c | 17.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over | 63c | 17.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hazem SC (-1.5)Al Ittihad Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hazem SC won
- Spread: Al Ittihad Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Hazem SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.